🇺🇸 UNITED STATES
Liberation Day 2.0

The Supreme Court just kneecapped President Trump's go-to tool for making other countries come to the negotiating table: tariffs. And he responded by scrapping the blocked tariffs and imposing a new 10% global tariff.

More than 1,000 companies have sued the administration seeking tariff refunds, but experts warn the process could take years.

Ruling. On Friday, the Supreme Court said the 1977 International Emergency Economic Powers Act (IEEPA) does not let a president impose tariffs, with Chief Justice John Roberts writing that the taxing power was not placed in the Executive Branch and that Congress would have spoken clearly if it meant to grant that kind of authority.

Reset. The White House said the tariffs struck down by the ruling "shall no longer be in effect" and should stop being collected as soon as practicable.

  • Hours later, Trump announced he signed an order imposing temporary 10% tariffs on global imports, set to begin on Feb. 24 at 12:01 a.m. and run up to 150 days.

  • This time the legal hook is Section 122 of the Trade Act of 1974, which allows a president to impose up to 15% to address a "large and serious balance-of-payments deficit" and limits the move to 150 days unless Congress extends it.

Rage. Trump publicly blasted the Supreme Court's decision as "deeply disappointing," attacked justices who ruled against him, and pointedly noted that only one of the three justices he appointed sided with him while the other two joined the majority.

Corruption Claims

US Secretary of Commerce Howard Lutnick

Players. The spotlight lands on Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick and Cantor Fitzgerald, the financial firm he previously led. His sons, Brandon and Kyle Lutnick, now run leadership roles at Cantor's parent company.

Mechanism. Back in July 2025, a report described traders at Cantor's investment banking subsidiary discussing deals to buy companies' rights to potential tariff refunds, essentially turning possible repayments into a tradable claim.

  • One reported offer priced those rights at 20-30% of duties paid, meaning an importer that paid $10 million might receive $2 million to $3 million upfront in exchange for signing away a larger future recovery.

  • Given Lutnick's central role architecting tariffs and his prior leadership of the firm, people are calling this blatant grift.

📌 Context. But here’s the thing: presidents have long used the IEEPA for sanctions. That’s why Trump supporters say the ruling is foul.

President Obama used IEEPA repeatedly for targeted sanctions programs, including against transnational criminal organizations (EO 13581, 2011).

President Biden has used IEEPA-linked national emergencies to build Russia-related sanctions and trade restrictions (EO 14024, 2021).

🇺🇸 UNITED STATES
Trump Floats
“Limited Strikes”

US President Donald Trump (left) and Iran’s Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei (right).

President Trump said he is considering limited military strikes against Iran even as nuclear talks continue. Meanwhile, Iran's top diplomat says a draft deal could be ready within days.

Trigger. On Friday, Feb. 20, 2026, Trump told reporters he was considering limited military action while the United States and Iran negotiate, then later warned Iran "better negotiate a fair deal." The comments landed as the administration presses Tehran for concessions and signals it is willing to escalate.

Tehran. Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi said Friday in a television interview that Iran aims to finalize a draft in "the next two to three days" and send it to Washington. He framed the near-term goal as moving quickly into serious text negotiations and reaching a conclusion.

Posture. The standoff is unfolding alongside a major US military buildup in the Middle East, described as "the largest in decades."

  • The USS Gerald R. Ford carrier strike group entered the Mediterranean Sea via the Strait of Gibraltar after being redirected from the Caribbean.

  • The USS Abraham Lincoln carrier strike group is already in the region.


🇭🇺 HUNGARY
Hungary Holds Up
EU’s Ukraine Loan

Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orban (left) and Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy (right)

Hungarian Foreign Minister Szijjarto says Hungary will freeze a €90 billion EU loan for Ukraine until Russian oil starts flowing again to Hungary through the Druzhba pipeline (which Hungary critically relies on).

Loan. The loan was preliminarily approved in December 2025 and is framed as covering two-thirds of Ukraine’s needs for 2026 to 2027.

Money. The package earmarks €30 billion for budget support and €60 billion for military needs, meaning Hungary’s veto hits both Ukraine’s basic cashflow and its war effort. Without these funds, Ukraine risks running out of cash by mid-2026.

Simplified map of Druzhba pipelines. Southern Druzhba flows from Russia→Belarus (Mozyr)→through Ukraine to Hungary (Duna).

Fuel. Druzhba transit has been halted since late January after Russian strikes damaged Ukraine’s energy infrastructure. The pipeline is a critical supply route for Hungary and Slovakia, described as the only EU countries still importing Russian crude through the system.

Politics. Szijjarto framed Kyiv’s stance as "blackmailing" Hungary and claimed coordination with the EU and Hungarian opposition ahead of Hungary’s parliamentary elections in April. The government has also escalated anti-Ukraine rhetoric, including Prime Minister Orban recently calling Ukraine an "enemy."

📌 Context. EU decisions on large financial packages often require unanimity, giving any member state real blocking power. Druzhba is one of the world’s largest oil networks, and disruptions to its Ukraine route become political ammunition inside the EU.

🇸🇾 SYRIA
Breeding Ground for
New ISIS Terrorists

US intelligence now estimates 15,000 to 20,000 people (including ISIS affiliates) are at large in Syria, after the security at Al-Hol, the detention camp that held Islamic State fighters' family members, effectively collapsed.

The fear is not just escapees, but what years inside the camp may have produced.

Place. Al-Hol in Hasaka, Syria, held thousands tied to ISIS through family networks for years. It has been a fixation for counterterrorism analysts because it concentrated people already steeped in the movement's ideology.

Risk. For a long time, security experts warned that the camp was functioning like a training ground in slow motion, with ISIS fighters' wives raising children in a radicalized environment.

Letting the camp deteriorate = a new wave of terrorists organizing.

Trigger. Security broke down in recent weeks after the US-backed Syrian Democratic Forces, which had huarded Al-Hol for years, lost control of it.

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